2008 Financial Crisis Pattern

The modern template for engineered-boom-bust-cycles and profits-privatized-losses-socialized. Every element of Jiang’s economic framework is visible in the 2008 crisis.

What Happened

  1. The boom. Banks issued subprime mortgages to people who couldn’t afford them. These were bundled into securities and sold as safe investments.
  2. The insider game. Those who understood the system (John Paulson, Goldman Sachs) bet against the securities they were selling. Paulson made $20 billion.
  3. The bust. Housing prices collapsed. Securities became worthless. Banks faced insolvency.
  4. Socialized losses. The US government bailed out the banks with $700B+ in TARP funds (taxpayer money). No major banker went to prison.
  5. Consolidation. Post-crisis, the surviving banks emerged larger and more powerful. JP Morgan acquired distressed assets cheaply.

The Framework Lesson

The Post-2008 China Pivot

After the crisis, the BIS deliberately altered the RMB-USD exchange rate to signal the world to trade with China. This wasn’t organic recovery - it was a coordinated decision to shift the global center of gravity to keep the extraction system functioning.

The Next Cycle

Jiang predicts the current cycle’s bust will be triggered by:

  • The US-Iran war providing external cover
  • Private credit bubble ($2T) and AI bubble popping simultaneously
  • transnational-capital extracting value and relocating to Israel
  • This time the bust is terminal for the US system, not a reset within it